Tuesday, 17 July 2018
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We mark the passing of those who served this country. Contributions from comrades and families welcome.

CARINGTON, Peter Alexander Rupert Carington,KG, GCMG, CH, MC 6th Baron Carrington 6th June 1919 to July 9th 2018

Grenadier Guards Armoured Division tank commander North West Europe. MC bridge at Nijmegen. Later junior defence misnister, First Lord of the Admiralty, Defence Secretary, Foreign Secretary (resigned after Falklands invasion); Secretary General NATO, European Community envoy to Balkans

philip dunne rusiAs part of the MoDernising Defence Programme (MDP), UK Defence Secretary Gavin Williamson asked Philip Dunne, minister for defence equipment and support from 2012 until 2016, to conduct an independent investigation into the contribution that 'Defence' (the UK armed forces, Ministry of Defence (MoD) and industry) makes to the UK economy. The report notes that Defence's direct contribution to the UK's GDP includes over GBP7 billion (USD9.25 billion) in exports generated on average each year in addition to the MoD budget of GBP37 billion. The U K Defence Forum's Nick Watts wrote of the subject for Jane's Defence Weekly - this is an edited version.

Fulfilling a campaign promise, on May 8, 2018, President Trump announced the United States will withdraw from the 2015 Iran nuclear deal and begin reinstating economic sanctions on Tehran. As the UK and NATO await visits from the President, Joseph E Fallon explains on the next page what's going on.

Some semi-lighthearted reflections from Joseph E Fallon

According to Jefferson and Adams support for the American Revolution in the 13 rebellious North American colonies never topped 30 percent

The British Army could have won and ended the war at the start - at the battle of Breed's Hill (the lower, temporarily reinforced hill between Boston and  Bunker Hill, where most of the fighting was and where the present day memorial is). But politics intervened. Many senior commanders belonged to the opposition party and did not want their political opponents to be the winners. They thought when their party was voted in, they could then end the conflict. What a better definition of the word "stupid".

And the Battle of Yorktown was a French victory, not American.
American forces - 9,150, British forces - 7,000, Total French Ground and Naval forces - 28,500!!!! (More on page 2)

Support for the American Revolution lead to bankrupting France, leading the King to reconvene Parliament, which declared itself the National Assembly, which unleashed Revolution, Civil War, the Terror - and Napoleon and a quarter of a century of war in Europe. None of that would have occurred if British Generals had fought to win Breed's Hill.

We mark the passing of those who have served this country. Contributions from comrades and families welcome

Review of Carleton, G. Russia: The Story of War. London: The Belknap Press of Harvard University, 2017 by Professor Andrew Monaghan,

In Russia: The Story of War, Gregory Carleton, Professor of Russian studies and Chair of the Department of International Literary and Cultural Studies at Tufts University, presents what he calls Russia's war myth, illuminating the common stock of assumptions and consistent vocabulary that underpin it. This is myth as sacred tale, central to Russian national identity and a frame of reference based on archetypal sets of causality, character types, scenarios and outcomes on which Russia's past is structured. In so doing, he depicts the duality of Russia's image: to many outsiders, it is an insatiably aggressive country, but to many Russians it is a country that is a defender, protector, even saviour, fighting one invader after the next. The distance between these different interpretations is unbridgeable, he suggests, even though they come from the same events and actions.

paris2Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's revolutionary guard are spearheading an attempted regional takeover in the troubled Arab world, focusing on Syria, writes Jonathan Paris. Because the Obama administration was fixated on securing the 2015 nuclear deal, they gave a green light to Iran to do all sorts of things in the region. And this took place in 2013-15, when the Syrian rebels were at their peak and Iran's ally, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, was near his end. It was looking very grim for the Syrian regime, but they were able to call on Iran to backstop them. General Qassem Soleimani (Qassem), the head of the Al Quds division of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), persuaded Putin in 2015 that getting Russia involved in Syria was a great opportunity to save Bashar. Putin for reasons of his own did that.

We mark the passing of those who have served this country. Contributions from comrades and families welcome

Dr. Jeremy Black, professor of history at Exeter University, has a thought provoking article on the Foreign Policy Research Institute website entitled "Abraham Lincoln and American Destiny in a Divided World". https://www.fpri.org/article/2018/02/american-destiny-divided-world/

With the greatest respect, I would like to comment on three points he made, writes Joseph E Fallon, U K Defence Forum Research Associate

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