Articles and analysis

AI logoFIRE FROM THE SEA: RUSSIAN NAVAL LAND-ATTACK MISSILES

Systems, Platforms, Production and Combat Use in Ukraine 2022-2025

 

CONFIDENCE LEVELS USED IN THIS PAPER: [HIGH] Confirmed from multiple open-source/official records. [MEDIUM] Single or fragmentary sourcing; probable but not confirmed. [LOW] Assessed from technical/contextual inference; treat with caution. [ASSESSED] Western/Ukrainian intelligence estimate, unverified.

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AI logoRussia's search for reliable access to the world's oceans has long been shaped by the interaction of geography, climate, and strategic necessity. Much of the country's coastline lies along northern seas that freeze in winter or are distant from major maritime trade routes. As a result, Russian rulers—from the era of Muscovy to the present—have repeatedly sought secure maritime outlets that allow year-round naval activity and access to global commerce.
The pattern across three centuries is consistent: Russia expands toward warm water. Every war, every annexation, every alliance of convenience has this logic somewhere within it. Understanding this imperative helps explain not only Russia's historical expansion but also its contemporary interventions from Syria to Africa.

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Zashchitnyy Kupol: Russia’s Protective Three-Ocean Dome along the Northern Sea Route — Redux. Part of the Northern Fleet's operational roles.

12 March 2026

northern fleet downloadIn 2015 it was reported that Russia had plans to build 13 aerodromes and six cantonments in the Arctic. The string of new and refurbished bases between the AI logo Atlantic and the Pacific via the Arctic Ocean was described by Northern Fleet commander Admiral Nikolay Yevmenov as a “protective ocean dome”.

In late 2019 Vice-Admiral Alexander Moiseyev confirmed that additional S-300 and S-400 systems would be deployed across the Russian Arctic to create a comprehensive anti-aircraft umbrella across the region.

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