Articles and analysis

By Adam Dempsey Research Associate U K Defence Forum

Based on a Constitution that stipulates its military should not pose a threat to other countries, Japan continues to uphold the principle of developing modest defence forces. These forces are the ultimate guarantee of security policies that seek to prevent and repel any threat from reaching Japan. Yet in light of contemporary security challenges, Japan's future defence forces should be capable of effectively responding to new threats and diverse situations. As its peace and stability is linked to that of the international community, Japan continues to voluntarily participate within initiatives to enhance global security. In particular, stability in the region spreading from the Middle East to East Asia is paramount. Japan has close economic ties with this region, with its sea lines providing almost all of its energy and natural resources. In this context, Japan will strive to

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By Fred Burton and Scott Stewart

February 12 marked the one-year anniversary of the assassination of Imad Mughniyah, one of Hezbollah's top military commanders. The anniversary was certainly met with rejoicing in Tel Aviv and Washington - in addition to all the Israelis he killed, Mughniyah also had a significant amount of American blood on his hands. But the date will have been met with anger and renewed cries for revenge from Hezbollah's militants, many of whom were recruited, trained or inspired by Mughniyah.

Because of Hezbollah's history of conducting retaliatory attacks after the assassination of its leaders, and the frequent and very vocal calls for retribution for the Mughniyah assassination, many observers (including Stratfor) have been waiting for

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By George Friedman

While the Munich Security Conference brought together senior leaders from most major countries and many minor ones recently, none was more significant than U.S. Vice President Joe Biden. This is because Biden provided the first glimpse of U.S. foreign policy under President Barack Obama. Most conference attendees were looking forward to a dramatic shift in U.S. foreign policy under the Obama administration. What was interesting about Biden's speech was how little change there has been in the U.S. position and how much the attendees and the media were cheered by it.

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