Articles and analysis

By George Friedman

The Russo-Georgian war continues to resonate, and it is time to expand our view of it. The primary players in Georgia, apart from the Georgians, were the Russians and Americans. On the margins were the Europeans, providing advice and admonitions but carrying little weight.

Another player, carrying out a murkier role, was Israel. Israeli advisers were present in Georgia alongside American advisers, and Israeli businessmen were doing business there. The Israelis had a degree of influence but were minor players compared to the Americans. More interesting, perhaps, was the decision, publicly announced by the Israelis, to end weapons sales to Georgia the week before the Georgians attacked South Ossetia. Clearly the Israelis knew what was coming and wanted no part of it.

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By Jaap de Hoop Scheffer NATO Secretary General
Extracts from speech delivered at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), London, 18 September 2008

About two weeks ago, an exasperated NATO Ambassador asked a question to his colleagues around the Council table: Why is it that we always see so many crises happening in the month of August?

The question was, of course, a rhetorical one, so no one felt compelled to respond. But there can be no doubt that August 2008 will go down in history as a key moment in international security. "The Guns of August", to borrow the title of a famous book, will sound in our ears for some time to come.

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by Dr John Chipman

This year we have special essays on intelligence reforms in the US and the changes that have taken place also in the UK and an extensive analysis on the strategic issues at stake in the Arctic, in light of the anticipated effects of climate change on new shipping routes and the desire for exploitation of the large oil and gas resources in the area. As always, Strategic Survey analyses the political-strategic trends for the preceding twelve months in all regions of the world and carries very detailed essays on political trends and conflicts throughout the world. Those wishing to understand the rise to power of the Maoists in Nepal, the internal debates in India on the India– US nuclear deal, the shifting domestic politics and impact on regional relationships in Southeast Asia, the politics of China in their Olympic year, the origins of the Kenyan political crisis, the problems of radicalisation in the Maghreb, the diplomatic travails over Kosovo, the internal struggles between the army and political parties in Turkey, the strategic perspectives of Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf states, the nature of leftist politics in Latin America, the debates over the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, nuclear non-proliferation strategies and great-power politics in general at a time of economic turmoil, can turn to Strategic Survey for crisp reflections and analysis.

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