Articles and analysis

By Fred Burton and Scott Stewart

Over the past several months Stratfor written quite a bit about the Russian resurgence. This discussion predates Russia's military action in Georgia. Indeed, we have discussed the revival of Russian power since at least 2005, the implications of the FSB's return since April and the potential return of the Cold War since March.

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By a special correspondent

There's been a devil striding the floors at the UK's Conservative Party Conference. There's a ghost, and a bogey man too. The devil looms out of the crowd. He's shaven-headed, except for two coxcombs dyed red, which from the front and the rear have more than a passing resemblance to horns.

The late Kenny Everett, an "adaptable" DJ, was notorious for declaring "Let's bomb Russia". He'd get a round of applause from fringe meetings today. The new bogeyman is that funny little Iranian guy with an unpronounceable name. If the Iranian people don't vote him out next June, Dr Liam Fox MP, Shadow Secretary of State for Defence says every option is on the table – and it will come to force.

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By Peter Zeihan

Russia is attempting to reforge its Cold War-era influence in its near abroad. This is not simply an issue of nostalgia, but a perfectly logical and predictable reaction to the Russian environment. Russia lacks easily definable, easily defendable borders. There is no redoubt to which the Russians can withdraw, and the only security they know comes from establishing buffers - buffers which tend to be lost in times of crisis. The alternative is for Russia to simply trust other states to leave it alone.

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